Full Deck — Deal & Risks

Risk register, controls, and IC gate conditions
No close without controlability on top risks
OverviewMarket & StrategyOperationsFinancialsDeal & Risks

Top Risks

RiskImpact if UnmanagedControl ActionGate Owner
Supplier-right dependencyExpansion thesis invalidatedContractually lock rights, renewal economics, and territory clarityLegal + Commercial DD
Founder/key-person transitionService disruption and customer lossTransition charter, shadow P&L handover, and retention planCEO + Integration PMO
QoE uncertaintyOverpayment riskAdjustment audit with evidence tiersFinance DD lead
Overseas execution overreachCapital burn with weak returnsStage-gate capex and acquisition criteriaIC + Strategy

IC Gate Checklist

Must Be Green

  • Rights lock completed and legally enforceable
  • QoE adjustments source-verified
  • Leadership transition model signed and staffed
  • Service continuity plan tested on key accounts

If Amber/Red

  • Cut valuation or structure as contingent consideration
  • Delay close until critical controls are in place
  • Remove overseas upside from base underwriting
  • Re-scope transaction perimeter

Final Recommendation

Proceed conditionally: approve on domestic base economics with strict governance and rights gates; treat TW/HK as milestone-priced options, not guaranteed value at entry.