Deal Origination System

An RTI-inspired infrastructure for succession deal sourcing in Hong Kong & Taiwan
Think Like Light → Think Like PINECONE: from trade signals to deal signals
The Architecture: RTI → DOI
"Light built an RTI system to catch trading signals before anyone else. PINECONE needs a Deal Origination Intelligence (DOI) system to catch succession deals before they hit the market."

Light's RTI infrastructure worked by layering four modules — on-chain monitoring, Twitter alert system, exchange flow tracking, and event-driven research — into a single decision framework that fed one portfolio manager. The same architecture applies to deal origination, but the signals are different:

Light RTI ModulePINECONE DOI EquivalentWhat It Catches
On-Chain Monitoring
wallet flows, exchange deposits
Platform Monitoring
listing aggregation, broker scraping
New listings on SMERGERS, DealStream, Kumo, Axial, BizBuySell, broker websites. The "exchange flow" of deal origination.
Twitter Alert System
keyword tracking, priority routing
Ecosystem Signal Tracking
advisor alerts, event monitoring, news
Broker newsletters, MAPECT announcements, law firm deal alerts, industrial association event calendars, obituaries/retirements in trade press, M&A league table changes.
Exchange Flow Monitoring
inflows/outflows, anomaly detection
Relationship Pipeline CRM
broker touchpoints, referral tracking
Track every broker, CPA, lawyer, banker interaction. Score relationships by deal quality. Measure referral conversion. Alert on stale relationships.
Event-Driven Research
fundamental analysis, scenario planning
Target Intelligence Research
company analysis, owner profiling
Deep research on targets that pass initial screen. Owner background, family dynamics, financial forensics, durability audit. The "trade thesis" equivalent.
The key insight: Light's edge wasn't speed — it was processing and routing. "Not about getting information first in every case, but about processing and routing it better." PINECONE's DOI system applies the same principle: you won't hear about every succession deal first, but the ones you catch, you'll be extremely efficient on.
Module 1: Platform Monitoring P0

Passive deal aggregation — the equivalent of Light's exchange flow monitoring. Set alerts, scrape listings, aggregate into one dashboard. This is the lowest-effort, highest-coverage layer.

Platforms to Monitor
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Kumo — Deal Aggregator

HKTW 100K+ listings · AI-powered · $49/mo starter

What it is: Aggregates business-for-sale listings from thousands of brokers and dozens of marketplaces globally. AI cleans unstructured data, deduplicates, and generates concise summaries. Covers North America, Europe, and Asia.

How to use it: Create saved searches with PINECONE's criteria: geography (HK, Taiwan), revenue floor ($1.5M+), industry filters (manufacturing, services), keyword filters ("retirement", "succession", "family business", "owner retiring"). Set daily email alerts. Export to CRM weekly.

Limitations for Asia: Coverage is strongest in US/Europe. HK and Taiwan listings are thinner. Best used as a passive sweep layer, not primary sourcing.

Action: Sign up, create 3-4 saved searches, set daily alerts. Review weekly. Low effort, catches outliers.

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SMERGERS — Asia SME Marketplace

HKTW 131 HK listings · 21 TW brokers · Free buyer account

What it is: The most relevant online marketplace for HK/TW SME deals. 110K+ member network across 170 countries. Self-described as "the first online investment bank for SMEs." Lists both businesses for sale and brokers/advisors.

HK coverage: 131 active listings (businesses for sale + investment). 35 businesses actively for sale. 23 active brokers. Mix of SFC-regulated entities, clinics, F&B, tech companies, licensed companies (money service operators, trust companies).

TW coverage: 21 active brokers. Listings thinner — Taiwan SME owners don't typically list online. More useful for identifying active brokers than finding deals directly.

How to use it: Create buyer profile with clear succession mandate. Browse HK/TW listings weekly. More importantly: use the broker directory to identify and contact active intermediaries. Message 5-10 brokers with your buy criteria. SMERGERS itself is the fishing pond — the brokers are the real fish.

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DealStream — HK Focused Listings

HK Hundreds of HK listings · Stronger for licensed entities · Free browse

What it is: Another online marketplace, stronger in HK specifically. Listings skew toward regulated/licensed businesses (SFC brokers, asset management cos, TCSP trusts, money lenders). Also has F&B, tech, manufacturing.

How to use it: Browse HK listings filtered by revenue range and industry. Cross-reference with SMERGERS to avoid duplicates. DealStream often has listings SMERGERS doesn't and vice versa.

Limitation: Many "shell company" listings — entities being sold primarily for their licenses, not operating businesses. Filter carefully for actual operating companies with revenue.

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Additional Platforms to Monitor

Axial · BizBuySell · Dealsuite · SourceCo · Inven
AxialUS-focused but has international deal flow. PE and lower middle market. Less relevant for HK/TW but worth monitoring.
BizBuySellLargest US marketplace. Minimal Asia coverage. Skip for now.
DealsuiteEurope-focused. Strong cross-border M&A matchmaking. Could catch HK/European deals. Worth registering as a buyer.
SourceCoAI-driven off-market sourcing. 200M+ SMB database. Better for proactive outreach than passive monitoring. Consider for Phase 2 when you want to do direct outreach to TW manufacturing targets.
InvenAI M&A search. 23M companies, 430M contacts, 93% matching accuracy. Enterprise tool. Consider when scaling.
Cyndx FinderAI deal search in 7 languages including Chinese. Could be useful for Taiwan.
Platform monitoring reality check: In HK and especially Taiwan, the best deals will NEVER appear on platforms. The online marketplace layer catches maybe 5-10% of available deals. It's a passive net — set it and forget it — but your real edge comes from Modules 2 and 3.
Module 2: Ecosystem Signal Tracking P0

The equivalent of Light's Twitter alert system. Monitor the ecosystem for signals that a deal might be forming — before it's listed anywhere.

Signal Sources by Market
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Hong Kong — Signal Sources

Big 4 newsletters · HSBC Commercial alerts · HKICPA · Chamber events · Trade press
SourceSignal TypeAction
PwC HK Deals NewsletterMarket trends, deal announcements, sector reportsSubscribe. Read monthly. Note sectors with increasing activity.
Mazars / PKF / Baker Tilly HKMid-tier audit firms see aging owner financials firsthandMeet M&A advisory partners. Present buy mandate. They see succession signals before anyone: declining owner engagement, estate planning questions, children refusing to take over.
HSBC Commercial BankingRM network covers thousands of HK SMEsBuild relationship with 2-3 senior RMs who cover SME clients. They know which owners are thinking about exit.
HKTDC / HKGCC eventsTrade Development Council + General Chamber of Commerce host industry eventsAttend quarterly. Meet founders face-to-face. The 65+ year old at the networking table who's there alone (no team) is your target.
HKICPAInstitute of CPAs. Members are the most trusted advisors to SME owners.Join SME-focused working groups. Present at events on "succession planning options." Position as buyer, not seller.
South China Morning Post / HKEJBusiness obituaries, retirement announcements, company anniversaries (40th, 50th — founder is 65+)Set Google Alerts for: "Hong Kong" + ("retirement" OR "succession" OR "family business" OR "next generation" OR "stepping down")
Private bank wealth advisorsUBS, Credit Suisse, JP Morgan PB cover HNW foundersHarder to access. Attend private banking conferences. Position as solution for "my client who wants to sell."
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Taiwan — Signal Sources

MAPECT · Industrial associations · Big 4 audit teams · Local CPAs · MOEA data
SourceSignal TypeAction
MAPECT eventsTaiwan M&A and PE Council. Annual awards + conferences. Convenes M&A community.Join as member. Attend every event. Sponsor award category. This is where Taiwan's M&A deals get discussed.
PwC Taiwan Deals AdvisoryIntegrated M&A: legal, tax, corporate finance, DD. Audit and tax client base = sourcing goldmine.Meet deals advisory / corporate finance team. Present succession buy mandate with clear criteria. Their audit partners see aging owners firsthand.
TAMI / TEEMA / TCIAIndustrial associations: Machinery, Electronics, Chemicals. Trade shows, member directories, founder networks.Join 2-3 associations in target sectors. Attend trade shows (TIMTOS, SEMICON Taiwan, TAITRONICS). Founders attend these — meet them where they are.
Local CPA firms (會計師事務所)Taiwan's most trusted SME advisors. Equivalent of Japan's zeirishi. They know which owners are thinking about exit.Build referral network with 10-15 CPA firms in Taipei, Taichung, Kaohsiung. Offer referral fee (1-2% of deal value) for qualified succession introductions.
MOEA SME White PaperAnnual data on SME demographics, sectors, regional distribution.Read annually. Identify sectors with highest concentration of aging founders. Use as targeting intelligence.
Lee and Li / LCS & PartnersTop Taiwan law firms. Their M&A teams see deal flow constantly.Engage as legal counsel. Their client referral network is the most valuable in the country. Being their client = seeing their deal flow.
CDIB Capital deal overflowThe only PE fund targeting succession. They pass on deals that are too small or don't fit.Build relationship with Steven Wu (Head of Buyout). Understand where they pass on deals. Their rejects = your targets.
NTU/NCCU business school eventsExecutive education programs attract aging founders seeking succession guidance.Guest lecture on "succession options." Attend family business programs. Founders self-select into these programs.
Taiwan CPA referral network — the killer move: In Japan, NGTG built their pipeline through M&A advisors and regional banks, paying advisory fees. In Taiwan, CPAs play this role. Build a structured referral program: fixed fee for introduction that passes first screen, success fee on close. Start with 10 CPAs, scale to 50. This is your proprietary sourcing channel that nobody else has built.
Alert Configuration (RTI-Style)

Following Light's template: for each signal source, define tracked keywords, priority level, and routing.

ChannelKeywords / TriggersPriorityRoute To
Google Alerts"Hong Kong" + succession / retirement / family business / selling business / "next generation"HIGHSlack #deal-signals
Google Alerts"Taiwan" + 接班 (succession) / 傳承 (inheritance) / 退休 (retirement) / 出售 (for sale)HIGHSlack #deal-signals
SMERGERS / DealStreamNew listing in HK or TW with revenue > $1MMEDIUMSlack #platform-listings
Kumo daily digestAsia filter, manufacturing + services, succession keywordsMEDIUMEmail → weekly review
MAPECT website / socialsEvent announcements, deal awards, member newsLOWSlack #ecosystem-intel
Trade press (SCMP, HKEJ, 工商時報)Founder obituaries, retirement, company milestones, management changesHIGHSlack #deal-signals
Module 3: Relationship Pipeline CRM P0

The equivalent of Light's exchange flow monitoring — but instead of tracking token flows, you're tracking relationship flows. Every broker, CPA, lawyer, banker, and advisor is a "wallet" in your system. You need to track: last contact date, deal quality of referrals, conversion rate, and relationship health.

CRM Architecture (Notion or HubSpot)
1

Contact Database

Every intermediary, advisor, and potential referral source. Fields: name, firm, role, market (HK/TW), sector expertise, last contact date, relationship score (1-5), deal referral count, conversion rate.

2

Interaction Log

Every meeting, call, email, event. Auto-calculate "days since last contact" and flag relationships going stale (>30 days = yellow, >60 days = red). Light tracked "liveliness" of wallets — you track liveliness of relationships.

3

Deal Pipeline

Every deal that enters the funnel. Stages: Signal → First Screen → Owner Meeting → LOI → Due Diligence → Close. Track source attribution back to which contact/channel originated the deal.

4

Attribution Analytics

Which channels produce the most deals? Which contacts have the highest conversion? Where should you invest more relationship time? This is your "edge framework" — same as Light ranking sources as HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW edge.

Initial Contact Database: HK
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HK Broker & Advisor Target List (28 contacts)

Tier 1 (meet first) · Tier 2 (month 2-3) · Tier 3 (ongoing)
TierName / FirmWhyFirst Contact Method
TIER 1
Week 1-4
PwC HK — Deals AdvisoryBig 4 see aging owners in audit client base. Integrated M&A advisory.Request intro meeting. Present succession buy mandate.
Mazars HKMid-tier audit. More SME exposure than Big 4. Less saturated.Meet M&A advisory partner directly.
PKF HKMid-tier audit and advisory. Strong SME practice.Same approach as Mazars.
Ivory CapitalBoutique IB in HK. Mid-market M&A advisory.Direct approach. Position as permanent-hold buyer.
HSBC Commercial Banking — 2-3 Senior RMsLargest SME lending book in HK. RMs know who's thinking about exit.Warm intro via HSBC contact. Or cold approach RM team covering your target sectors.
Baker Tilly HKMid-tier audit. Corporate advisory practice.Meet advisory team.
TIER 2
Month 2-3
Armor CapitalBoutique M&A advisory. Cross-border.Direct approach.
HKGCCHK General Chamber of Commerce. Events, committees.Join. Attend SME committee events.
Synergy Business Brokers (Asia)Award-winning business broker with HK presence.Register as buyer. Submit acquisition criteria.
SMERGERS HK brokers (top 5)23 active brokers on platform. Message top 5 by deal count.Message through platform with clear buy criteria.
DealStream HK brokersActive deal listers. Cross-reference with SMERGERS.Register as buyer. Contact active listers.
TIER 3
Ongoing
Private bank wealth advisorsUBS, JP Morgan PB teams cover HNW founders.Conference networking. Harder to access cold.
Family office networksSome HK family offices sell operating businesses.HKVCA events, family office conferences.
Insolvency practitionersDeloitte, KPMG restructuring teams. Not succession per se, but distressed exits by aging owners.Niche. Monitor for opportunities.
Initial Contact Database: Taiwan
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TW Broker & Advisor Target List (30+ contacts)

Tier 1 (meet first) · Tier 2 (month 2-3) · Tier 3 (build over time)
TierName / FirmWhyFirst Contact Method
TIER 1
Week 1-4
Lee and Li, Attorneys-at-LawTaiwan's oldest and largest law firm. Wrote the BMAA. #1 Bloomberg M&A league tables. Their client referral network is the most valuable in the country.Engage as legal counsel. Request meeting with M&A practice group.
LCS & PartnersAdvised on the Jintex/CDIB succession deal. Top M&A law firm.Engage as alternative/complementary counsel. Discuss succession deal flow.
PwC Taiwan — Deals AdvisoryBig 4 with integrated M&A advisory. Audit client base = sourcing goldmine.Meet deals advisory team. Present succession buy mandate with clear financial criteria.
MAPECTTaiwan M&A and PE Council. Industry body. Annual awards. Convenes the community.Join as member. Attend next event.
CDIB Capital GroupOnly PE fund targeting succession. Did Jintex. Their rejects = your targets.Request meeting with Steven Wu (Head of Buyout). Position as potential co-investor/partner.
TIER 2
Month 2-3
Deloitte / KPMG / EY TaiwanBig 4 audit and M&A advisory. Similar approach to PwC.Meet deals advisory teams. Present buy mandate.
ONEtoONE Corporate FinanceGlobal mid-market M&A. China/Asia coverage.Direct approach. Register buy mandate.
YCP GroupM&A target sourcing consulting with Taiwan expertise. Cross-border specialist.Engage as sourcing consultant for Taiwan mandate.
Winkler PartnersBoutique law firm. Strong cross-border M&A practice.Meet M&A team. Alternative to Lee and Li / LCS.
Mega Financial / First Financial / Taiwan Business BankDomestic banks with deep SME lending relationships.Meet commercial banking teams covering SME segments.
TIER 3
Build over 3-6 months
Local CPA firms (10-15 in target cities)The killer sourcing channel. CPAs are the most trusted SME advisors. Structured referral program.Identify CPAs in Taipei, Taichung, Kaohsiung through MAPECT, law firm referrals, TWSE company filings. Offer structured referral fee.
TAMI / TEEMA / TCIAIndustrial associations. Founders attend trade shows and events.Join 2-3 in target sectors. Attend events. Meet founders directly.
NTU / NCCU business schoolsFamily business executive education programs.Guest lecture on succession. Attend events.
SMERGERS TW brokers (top 5)21 active brokers on platform.Message through platform with buy criteria.
Module 4: Target Intelligence Research P1

The equivalent of Light's event-driven research team. Once a deal signal passes the first screen, deep research kicks in. Following Light's three-step framework: (1) Gather general knowledge, (2) Leverage proprietary data, (3) Define what to systematize.

1

Company Intelligence Gathering

Public filings (TWSE, IRD annual return, Companies Registry), industry reports, customer reviews, competitor landscape, supply chain position, key contracts. The "general knowledge" layer.

2

Owner Profiling

Age, family situation, children's involvement (or lack thereof), health signals, estate planning status, emotional attachment to business, prior succession conversations. The "on-chain" equivalent — proprietary intelligence from advisors, CPAs, industry contacts.

3

First Screen Checklist Application

HK: Revenue > HK$10M? Margin > 5%? Succession stated reason? 10+ years operating? No China dependency >50%? Not a shell entity? → If 5/6 pass, proceed to Owner Meeting.
TW: Revenue > TWD 50M? Margin > 5%? Succession stated reason? 10+ years operating? Manufacturing facility acceptable? No China corridor >50%? DIR approval feasible? → If 6/7 pass, proceed.

4

Owner Read (Five Archetypes)

Apply the five owner archetypes from the playbook. Is this owner the Reluctant Patriarch? The Legacy Builder? The Pragmatic Founder? Each archetype requires different messaging, timeline, and deal structure. This is the "scenario planning" equivalent from Light's framework.

Operational Workflow: Signal → Close
S

Signal Detected

Platform listing, broker referral, ecosystem signal, direct outreach response, event meeting. Logged in CRM with source attribution.

1

First Screen (24-48 hrs)

Apply checklist. Does it meet minimum criteria? If yes, move to research. If no, log reason and archive. Target: 80% screened out here.

2

Target Intelligence (1-2 weeks)

Company research + owner profiling. Build initial investment thesis. Identify key unknowns that can only be resolved by meeting the owner.

3

Owner Meeting

First meeting is NOT a pitch. It's a listening session. Understand the owner's story, their fears, their hopes for the business and employees. Apply the Owner Read framework. Target: 50% screened out after first meeting.

4

Investment Memo + LOI (2-4 weeks)

Full investment memo following playbook template. Valuation. Structure. LOI submission. This is where the deal gets real.

5

Due Diligence + Close (2-6 months)

Financial, legal, operational DD. Taiwan: add DIR approval, manufacturing assessment, China subsidiary review. HK: add offshore structure review, lease analysis, regulatory compliance.

The funnel math: If you want 2-3 deals per year, you need roughly: 200+ signals detected → 40 that pass first screen → 15-20 that get target intelligence → 8-10 owner meetings → 3-4 LOIs → 2-3 closes. This means your DOI system needs to generate 4+ qualified signals per week. That's why all four modules matter — no single channel produces enough volume alone.
Recommended Tech Stack
FunctionToolCost
CRM & PipelineNotion (current) or HubSpot Free CRM. Notion is fine for 0-50 active contacts. HubSpot when you scale past that.$0-50/mo
Deal AggregationKumo (primary) + manual monitoring of SMERGERS, DealStream$49-99/mo
Alert SystemGoogle Alerts (free) + Slack channel routing + Zapier for platform alerts$0-20/mo
ResearchCompanies Registry (HK), TWSE filings (TW), MOEA data, industry reportsVaries
CommunicationSlack (internal routing) + Email (broker comms) + WeChat/LINE (Asia contacts)$0
Document ManagementGoogle Drive or Notion for memos, NDAs, deal documents$0-12/mo

Total infrastructure cost: ~$70-180/month. This isn't a capital problem — it's a discipline problem. The system only works if you actually check the alerts, follow up with brokers, and log every interaction.

90-Day Build Plan
WeekActionDeliverable
1-2Set up Kumo + SMERGERS + DealStream buyer accounts. Configure saved searches and alerts. Set up Google Alerts for HK/TW succession keywords. Create Notion CRM database.Module 1 live. Alert system active.
2-4Begin Tier 1 outreach: HK (PwC, Mazars, PKF, Ivory Capital, HSBC RMs). TW (Lee and Li, PwC Taiwan, MAPECT).5-8 Tier 1 meetings scheduled.
4-6Complete Tier 1 meetings. Log all contacts in CRM. Begin Tier 2 outreach. Join MAPECT. Register with Dealsuite and Axial as buyer.Contact database at 20+ entries. First deal signals incoming.
6-8Review first pipeline. Apply First Screen Checklist to any signals. Begin target intelligence on anything that passes screen. Start building Taiwan CPA referral network (identify first 5 CPAs).First target intelligence reports. CPA referral program designed.
8-10Continue Tier 2/3 outreach. Attend first MAPECT event. Attend one HK industry event. Follow up on all stale relationships (>30 days).Contact database at 30+. Pipeline has 3-5 signals in research.
10-12Review system performance. Which channels are producing? Where to double down? First owner meeting if pipeline is mature enough. Refine alert configuration based on signal quality.DOI system v1 operational. Attribution data available. First owner meeting possible.